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              平原君究竟該不該為長平之戰的爆發負責?

              時間:2018-12-07  來源:新浪博客  作者:云中奐    評論:  【國學  收藏  糾錯

                戰國后期,秦國雖然經過商鞅變法國力大增,但是趙國由于趙武靈王的“胡服騎射”等相關改革,因此趙國的國力也不容忽視。比如秦昭王就是趙武靈王派人護送擁立的,這里且不管趙武靈王這種投機心理,我們單可以從這個問題就可以看出,趙國當時軍事實力已經強大到敢于干涉秦國的內政上了。yU9歷史春秋網 - 專注于中國古代歷史

                秦國一直是以擴張領土、吞并諸侯為既定國策的,所以趙國就成了秦國前進道路上的絆腳石,當秦國經過數十年的激戰將號稱占地最多的楚國打垮以后,那么秦國的矛頭勢必要對準趙國,秦趙一戰在所難免。這一點,王立群教授也已指出。yU9歷史春秋網 - 專注于中國古代歷史

                但是問題是,雖然孟子嚷嚷什么“春秋無義戰”,但是自古至今戰爭的發動方都會給自己戰爭的發動找個借口的,哪怕是像納粹德國那樣閃電戰,也會在開始執行閃電戰的同時給對方一封戰書。所以秦國雖然虎視眈眈做好與趙國決戰的準備,但是卻在一直找一個恰當的借口。yU9歷史春秋網 - 專注于中國古代歷史

                正在此時,上黨事件爆發了。yU9歷史春秋網 - 專注于中國古代歷史

                上黨事件的爆發,使得趙國的朝野陷入一片爭吵之中,平原君力主接受上黨,趙孝成王心里也支持平原君的建議,于是接受上黨的方針就被這樣定了下來。秦國聽說以后,也以此為口實入侵趙國,秦趙雙方在長平激戰,最后趙國戰敗,損失四十萬大軍。yU9歷史春秋網 - 專注于中國古代歷史

                所以司馬遷在平原君的傳記里批評平原君“貪馮亭之邪說”。yU9歷史春秋網 - 專注于中國古代歷史

                但是事實上,我覺得平原君接受上黨并沒有錯。yU9歷史春秋網 - 專注于中國古代歷史

                當年日本帝國主義為了侵略中國,屢屢制造借口、挑動事端,從“九一八事變”到“華北危急”,從“七七事變”到“八一三事變”,日軍為了給自己的戰爭發動找個理由,一直在制造事端,然后挑起戰爭。對付這種既當婊子又立牌坊的作為,一味的后退是沒用的,最好的措施就是給他當頭一棒,讓他明白自己到底姓啥。yU9歷史春秋網 - 專注于中國古代歷史

                秦趙兩國的戰爭也正是如此,秦國進軍趙國已經是既定方針,只是在一直找一個恰當的借口。平原君正是因為看清楚了這一點,所以他才主張接受上黨,這樣既能在戰爭發動之前擴大一下自己的實力,還能把戰場轉移到韓趙邊界以免秦國對付完韓國以后大軍直接殺進趙國本土。當年蘇聯在得知德國入侵波蘭的時候,也是立刻與德國瓜分了波蘭,原因正是于此。yU9歷史春秋網 - 專注于中國古代歷史

                但是平原君雖然想到了這些,但是他卻沒有看見另一個問題,那就是趙國的人才問題以及趙國的經濟問題。yU9歷史春秋網 - 專注于中國古代歷史

                我們知道,戰爭在很大的一個程度上,是交戰的雙方在砸錢,誰的錢多誰獲勝的幾率就大一些。尤其是戰爭陷入膠著狀態,經濟更是成了決定戰爭勝負的一大關鍵。yU9歷史春秋網 - 專注于中國古代歷史

                而秦趙兩國在經濟這方面,趙國顯然吃了很大的虧,因為趙武靈王變法主要都集中在軍事上的改革,在經濟上趙國還是遠遠落后的。所以一旦戰爭陷入膠著狀態,局勢將會對趙國很是不利。yU9歷史春秋網 - 專注于中國古代歷史

                既然如此,可能有人會說,既然趙國的經濟實力不夠,為什么不想辦法速戰速決呢?yU9歷史春秋網 - 專注于中國古代歷史

                趙國當然想,可惜趙國此時在這方面的人才趙奢已經死了。從趙奢當年千里疾奔救閼與一戰,我們就可以看出這個人身上的卓越的軍事天賦(真不知道為什么他沒有入選戰國四名將)。此時在趙國,最有資歷與盛名的就是廉頗,可惜廉頗偏偏不是趙奢那樣的天才。yU9歷史春秋網 - 專注于中國古代歷史

                于是老成持重的廉頗走馬上任,在與秦軍初戰不利以后,便堅守不出。如此一來,廉頗雖然感覺長久下去,應該能夠逼迫秦軍退軍,但是他忽略了一個問題,就是:第一,即便秦軍退軍,戰爭的結果也是不分勝負;第二,也是最重要的,一旦陷入膠著戰,趙國的經濟肯定供應不上,長此下去,恐怕長平還沒丟,趙國這家公司已經先破產了。yU9歷史春秋網 - 專注于中國古代歷史

                所以趙孝成王臨陣換將是理所當然之事,趙括的走馬上任雖然是個悲劇,但是卻也是個注定要發生的悲劇!yU9歷史春秋網 - 專注于中國古代歷史

                于是長平之戰以趙國慘敗收尾。yU9歷史春秋網 - 專注于中國古代歷史

                于是平原君多年的賢明也毀于一旦,被司馬遷指著鼻子罵他貪心。yU9歷史春秋網 - 專注于中國古代歷史

              yU9歷史春秋網 - 專注于中國古代歷史

                但是長平慘敗到底該不該由平原君完全負責,想必我寫了這么多,大家心里也該有個數了。yU9歷史春秋網 - 專注于中國古代歷史

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