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              郭嘉如果不死,曹操赤壁之戰會失敗嗎?

              時間:2018-12-10  來源:新浪博客  作者:蕭郎看球    評論:  【國學  收藏  糾錯

                赤壁兵敗后,曹操當著手下文武痛哭郭嘉,說,如果郭嘉不死,他不會有赤壁之敗。S7t歷史春秋網 - 專注于中國古代歷史

                郭嘉如果沒死,曹操真能避免赤壁兵敗的命運嗎?S7t歷史春秋網 - 專注于中國古代歷史

                雖然歷史不允許假設,但我們今天權當飯后無聊扯閑篇,不妨假設一下,如果郭嘉真的健在,曹操的赤壁之戰,會出現什么樣的結果?S7t歷史春秋網 - 專注于中國古代歷史

                我們知道,郭嘉最厲害之處,在于對人和事的敏銳而獨到的判斷。曹操說郭嘉是“見時事兵事,過絕于人”。什么意思,說白了就是料敵制勝,知己知彼,能把對手看透。S7t歷史春秋網 - 專注于中國古代歷史

                郭嘉精于人世,洞悉人心,料事如神。S7t歷史春秋網 - 專注于中國古代歷史

                他看透了袁紹,一出山,便給曹操獻上了他著名的“十勝十敗”之說,把袁紹的弱點剖析到纖毫畢現,令曹操心悅誠服。S7t歷史春秋網 - 專注于中國古代歷史

                他看透了呂布,說呂布"每戰輒破,氣衰力盡,內外失守。布之威力不及項籍,而困敗過之,若乘勝攻之,此成禽也。",果然,不多久,呂布就被曹操滅了。S7t歷史春秋網 - 專注于中國古代歷史

                他看透了孫策,說孫策“輕而無備,性急少謀,乃匹夫之勇耳,他日必死于小人之手。”,果不其然,沒多久孫策便死于許貢的三個仆人之手。S7t歷史春秋網 - 專注于中國古代歷史

                他還看透了袁紹的兩個兒子,建議曹操坐山觀虎斗,只等二袁兩個自相殘殺之后,坐收漁利。果然,曹操不費吃灰之力,殺了袁譚,嚇跑了袁尚。S7t歷史春秋網 - 專注于中國古代歷史

                他更看透了東公孫康,知道公孫康對袁尚、袁熙心存忌憚,臨死之際,遺計定遼東,讓曹操坐等公孫康殺了二袁,徹底掃平了北方的袁紹集團。S7t歷史春秋網 - 專注于中國古代歷史

                試想,有這樣一個算無遺策的郭嘉在,曹操的赤壁之戰,會如何?S7t歷史春秋網 - 專注于中國古代歷史

                要探討這個問題,先要看赤壁之戰中曹操下錯的幾盤棋。S7t歷史春秋網 - 專注于中國古代歷史

                一,曹操中了周瑜的反間計,錯殺了諳熟水戰的水軍統領蔡瑁、張允。S7t歷史春秋網 - 專注于中國古代歷史

                二,曹操輕信了龐統的話,中了連環計,將所有戰船用鎖鏈連在了一起。S7t歷史春秋網 - 專注于中國古代歷史

                三,曹操沒看透黃蓋的苦肉計,致使黃蓋詐降成功。S7t歷史春秋網 - 專注于中國古代歷史

                四,不信江東冬天會刮東南風,致使周瑜的火攻計策得逞。S7t歷史春秋網 - 專注于中國古代歷史

                如果郭嘉在,曹操會下錯這幾盤棋嗎?S7t歷史春秋網 - 專注于中國古代歷史

                前面說了,郭嘉最厲害之處,在于精于人世,洞悉人心,料敵先機,料事如神。有郭嘉在曹操身邊,肯定有所不同,極有可能會出現另外的一些迥然不同的情節。S7t歷史春秋網 - 專注于中國古代歷史

                一,當曹操看完蔣干盜的書后,憤然下令要斬蔡瑁、張允,這個時候,郭嘉一定會站起來說,丞相,這是周瑜忌憚蔡瑁、張允諳熟水戰,故使反間計,借丞相之手除掉此二人,丞相不可上了周郎的詭計。曹操會聽嗎?會,事實上,曹操殺完之后,就醒悟了,他只差一個點醒他的人。S7t歷史春秋網 - 專注于中國古代歷史

                二,龐統給曹操獻連環計,郭嘉當場也未必猜得透龐統的心機,但事后,龐統去而不返,郭嘉一定會有所警覺,向曹操進言,龐統此人,不可不防。S7t歷史春秋網 - 專注于中國古代歷史

                三,黃蓋的苦肉計,破綻很多,疑點重重,如果郭嘉在,以他對人和事的超強判斷力,他不會看不出來黃蓋是詐降。他一定會提醒曹操,甚至將計就計,讓黃蓋的詐降反為曹操所利用。S7t歷史春秋網 - 專注于中國古代歷史

                四,這一點,郭嘉幫不了曹操,郭嘉不是天文學家,他也無法預知江南的冬天會不會有東南風。S7t歷史春秋網 - 專注于中國古代歷史

              S7t歷史春秋網 - 專注于中國古代歷史

                但前面三點,只要有其中的任何一條被郭嘉點破,曹操的赤壁之戰都不會是那樣一個結局。因此,曹操哭郭嘉,并不是存心要羞臊手下的那些文武,而是的確有切膚之痛,有深切的痛的領悟。S7t歷史春秋網 - 專注于中國古代歷史

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              文章標簽:中國  歷史  赤壁之戰  曹操  郭嘉


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